The probability of every football match, checked against real results.
Win, draw or loss, expected goals, most likely score and live, for more than 25 competitions. Every probability is locked before kickoff, then compared with the result.
📢 Telegram channel · 🦋 Bluesky · follow the daily probabilities and the AI recap
What you get in the app
Everything is free, on the website, as an installable web app and in Telegram.
For every match, every day. Matches where one outcome is above 65% are highlighted.
Expected goals, most likely score, over 2.5 goals, both teams to score.
Score, minute, scorers, and the probability moving during the match.
An alert at kickoff, on every goal, at half time and full time.
Title, top 4 and relegation chances from season simulations.
A Telegram game: do better than the AI, alone or against your friends.
Big matches seen by the model
For the big matches, our AI writes a preview from our own data only. It is updated with the result.
How it is calculated
A method well known to football statisticians, applied every day to every match.
Attack and defence of each team from its recent matches, with home advantage.
That gives how many goals each team should score in this match.
A Poisson model gives the probability of every score, then win, draw and loss.
The probability is frozen before the match, then compared with the real result.
A track record you can check
Many prediction sites only show their wins. Here, everything stays visible.
Every probability is shown before kickoff and no longer changes.
The result is added automatically at the final whistle.
Hits and misses since launch, in the Results tab.
A free widget for your website
Show our probabilities on your site or blog, updated automatically.
<div class="afp-widget" data-lang="en" data-lg="E0,CL" data-n="6"></div> <script src="https://aifootpredictor.com/embed.js" async></script>
FAQ
Is it free?
Yes. The website, the web app, the Telegram mini app and the widget are free, with no sign-up.
Is this betting advice?
No. These are statistical estimates for information only, with no guaranteed result. 18+ only. If gambling is a problem for you, get help from a support line in your country.
Why doesn't the most likely result always happen?
Something at 60% fails 4 times out of 10, and that is expected. A model is judged over hundreds of matches, which is why the history is public.
How do I install the app?
On iPhone, open the site in Safari, tap Share then “Add to Home Screen”. On Android, browser menu then “Install app”. Or open the mini app in Telegram.
Where does the data come from?
Fixtures and results come from a sports data provider. The probabilities, expected goals, simulated tables and previews come from our own model.