AI sees Albania edging Finland 1-0 in Nations League

The probabilities are very tight. Our AI gives Albania a 35% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Finland 31%. Albania come out on top, but only by a thin margin in a match the AI sees as wide open.

On goals, our AI expects 1.0 for Albania and 0.92 for Finland. The most likely score is 1-0, at 14%. The chance of more than 2.5 goals is put at 30%, which points to a fairly low-scoring game.

Albania have won three and lost two of their last five matches, and won the latest. Finland have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five, and lost their most recent game. In the League C table, Albania are first with 9 points and a goal difference of +5, while Finland are third with 7 points and a goal difference of +7. At home, Albania have won both of their league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Finland have one win and one defeat away, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In the last meeting, on 3 October, Finland won 2-1 against Albania.