AI sees Cyprus beating Armenia 1-0 in Yerevan

The AI gives Cyprus a 38% chance of winning, against 32% for Armenia and 29% for a draw. Cyprus win is the most likely outcome, but no result is clearly ahead of the others at the Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (kick-off 18:00 Paris time).

Expected goals are close: 1.22 for Armenia and 1.37 for Cyprus. The most likely score is 0-1, with a probability of 9%. The AI puts the chance of more than 2.5 goals at 48%, so a low-scoring game is slightly favoured. This season Armenia have scored 2.0 goals per game at home and conceded 1.5, while Cyprus have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.0 per game away.

Cyprus arrive in better form, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, and they won the last one. Armenia have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five, and drew the last one. In the standings Cyprus are second with 7 points and a goal difference of +2, while Armenia are third with 4 points and a goal difference of -1. In the last head to head, on 2 October 2026, Cyprus won 2-0 at home. Before that, Armenia and Cyprus drew 2-2 in March 2023, and Armenia won 3-2 in November 2017.