Match preview · UEFA Nations League

AI sees England beating Croatia 3-0

Our AI makes England clear favourites to beat Croatia in the UEFA Nations League, with a 73% chance of a home win. The most likely score is 3-0, in a League A round 5 match on 12 November at 20:45 Paris time.

📅 Thursday, 12 November 2026⏱ 20:45 (Paris time)
England - Croatia
England
vs
Croatia
MOST LIKELYUEFA Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 · 20:45
#AIFP-5632
1N2Most likely resultEngland win73%
SCOREMost likely score3-09%
xGExpected goals3.1 - 0.9
+2.5Over 2.5 goals77%
Probabilities locked before kickoff, then checkedMatch sheet
1 · 73%X · 16%2 · 11%

The AI gives England a 73% chance of winning, against 16% for a draw and 11% for a Croatia victory. An England win is the most likely outcome of the match.

On goals, the AI expects 3.14 for England and 0.91 for Croatia. The most likely score is 3-0, with a probability of 9%. The chance of more than 2.5 goals in the match is put at 77%.

England have won four of their last five matches and lost one, and they won the latest. Croatia have won one and lost four of their last five, including their most recent game. England are second in the standings with 9 points and a goal difference of +11, while Croatia are third with 3 points and a goal difference of -10. In the last five meetings England won four and one was drawn. The most recent was a 7-0 England win away to Croatia on 3 October 2026, and before that England won 4-2 at home on 17 June 2026.

📋 Put this match on your siteFree widget that updates itself: probabilities, live and score. Copy this code:
<div class="afp-widget" data-type="match" data-match="5632" data-lang="en"><a href="https://aifootpredictor.com/blog/prediction-england-croatia-2026-11-12/">England - Croatia : probabilities by AI Football Predictor</a></div>
<script src="https://aifootpredictor.com/embed.js" async></script>
All widgets
AIFP
Follow this match liveScore, goals and live probability, free.

Article written by our AI from our own data only (probabilities, expected goals, form, standings). Probabilities, not certainty. 18+.

The probability of every match, free

Today's most likely matches, live, team sheets and proof of reliability, free on the site.