AI sees Benfica winning at Estrela 2-0

The model's most likely outcome is a Benfica win, rated at 76%. A draw comes in at 15% and an Estrela win at only 9%.

The model projects 0.8 expected goals for Estrela against 2.78 for Benfica. The most likely score is 0-2, with an 11% probability, and the chance of more than 2.5 goals in the match is put at 69%. Away from home, Benfica have won four of five this season, scoring 3.4 goals per game and conceding 0.8, with three clean sheets. At home, Estrela have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and they have failed to score twice.

Estrela have won none of their last five, with one draw and four defeats, and they sit 12th of 18 with 10 points and a goal difference of -4. Benfica have won four and lost one of their last five, including their most recent match, and are second with 25 points and a goal difference of +19. Benfica also won each of the last five meetings, scoring 16 goals and conceding 2, including a 4-0 at home in January 2026 and a 7-0 in November 2024.