AI sees Leverkusen beating Köln in the Bundesliga

The probabilities favor the visitors clearly: 51% for a Leverkusen win, 25% for Köln and 23% for a draw. The model's prediction is therefore a Leverkusen win.

On goals, the model expects 1.93 for Leverkusen and 1.38 for Köln. The most likely single score is 1-1, at 10%, even though the away win is the most likely outcome overall. The model puts the chance of more than 2.5 goals at 64%. At home, Köln average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded this season, while Leverkusen average 2.0 scored and 2.8 conceded away from home.

Leverkusen sit 6th with 13 points and a goal difference of +2, while Köln are 15th with 9 points and a goal difference of -3. In their last five matches, Köln have one win, two draws and two defeats, with a draw last time out. Leverkusen have three wins and two defeats, and lost their most recent match. Leverkusen also won all five of the last five meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 win at Köln in April 2026.