AI sees Montenegro beating Latvia 1-0

Our AI gives Montenegro a 60% chance of winning, against 26% for a draw and 15% for a Latvia victory. Its most likely outcome is therefore a home win in this round 5 fixture.

On goals, the AI expects 1.75 for Montenegro and 0.59 for Latvia. The most likely score is 1-0, with a 16% probability, and the chance of more than 2.5 goals is put at 41%. At home, Montenegro have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded this season, with one clean sheet. Latvia have averaged 0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home, with two defeats in those games.

Montenegro lead the standings in first place with 10 points and a goal difference of +3. They have three wins and two draws in their last five, with no defeat, although the most recent game was a draw. Latvia sit fourth with 1 point and a goal difference of -4, and they have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five, the latest one a loss. In the last four meetings, Montenegro have won twice and drawn twice. The most recent one, on 2 October 2026, ended 2-1 to Montenegro in Latvia.