Match preview · UEFA Nations League

AI sees Belarus beating San Marino 2-0

Our AI makes Belarus clear favourites to win at San Marino Stadium in League C of the UEFA Nations League, with a 78% chance of an away win. The most likely score is 0-2, at 14%.

📅 Thursday, 12 November 2026⏱ 20:45 (Paris time)🏟 San Marino Stadium
San Marino - Belarus
San Marino
vs
Belarus
MOST LIKELYUEFA Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026 · 20:45
#AIFP-5634
1N2Most likely resultBelarus win78%
SCOREMost likely score0-214%
xGExpected goals0.5 - 2.9
+2.5Over 2.5 goals66%
Probabilities locked before kickoff, then checkedMatch sheet
1 · 8%X · 14%2 · 78%

Our AI gives Belarus a 78% chance of winning on Thursday 12 November (20:45 Paris time), against 14% for a draw and just 8% for a San Marino victory. Belarus winning is the AI's most likely result.

The AI expects 2.92 goals from Belarus and 0.5 from San Marino. Its most likely score is 0-2, at 14%, and it puts the chance of more than 2.5 goals in the match at 66%.

Belarus have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, and won their most recent match. They have 7 points and a goal difference of +3. San Marino have lost all five of their last five, have 0 points and a goal difference of -15, and have lost both home games this season without scoring. Belarus won all three previous meetings, including 4-0 on 3 October 2026, scoring 11 goals and conceding none.

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