AI sees Villarreal edging Getafe 1-0

The model gives Villarreal a 63% chance of winning, against 24% for a draw and 14% for a Getafe victory. That makes the home side clear favourites for this round 12 fixture.

The model expects 1.6 goals from Villarreal and 0.65 from Getafe. The most likely score is 1-0, at 16% probability, and the chance of more than 2.5 goals is 39%. Getafe's away record backs up the low-scoring picture: they have lost all five of their away games this season, failing to score in any of them, and have conceded 2.4 goals per game on the road. Villarreal have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home, with one win, one draw and three defeats, and one clean sheet.

Both teams have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. Villarreal lost their most recent game, while Getafe won theirs. In the table the two sides are level on 12 points, but Villarreal are 10th with a goal difference of 0 and Getafe 13th at minus 8. In the last five head to head meetings, Villarreal won twice, Getafe once and two games were drawn. Getafe won the most recent one 2-1 in February 2026, while Villarreal won 2-0 at home in December 2025.