Football probabilities for Friday, 13 November 2026: the most likely matches
Thirteen matches, five competitions, and one clear standout on the board today. Scotland vs FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League is the one match where our numbers reach 65% or more.
The day's most likely matches
A match is highlighted when a team has at least a 65% chance to win. These are probabilities, not certainties: at 70%, it fails 3 times out of 10.
UEFA Nations LeagueScotland win 70 % · exp. goals 2.12-0.43
The AI rates a Scotland win as the most likely result at 70%, though that match has not been played yet, so nothing is settled. The rest of the slate, from the CONCACAF Nations League and international friendlies to the NWSL and the Première Ligue (women), is more open.
Competitions analysed
Method: probabilities follow the market when it exists, and our model (attack, defence, recent matches, expected goals) otherwise. Every probability is locked 3 hours before kick-off, then checked against the real result. Method in detail · Free widget for your site
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Today's most likely matches, live, team sheets and proof of reliability, free on the site.