Match preview · UEFA Nations League

AI sees Iceland beating Bulgaria 2-0 in Nations League

Our AI makes Iceland the most likely winners of their UEFA Nations League meeting with Bulgaria on 13 November (20:45 Paris time). The most likely score is 0-2, with Iceland given a 59% chance of victory.

📅 Friday, 13 November 2026⏱ 20:45 (Paris time)
Bulgaria - Iceland
Bulgaria
vs
Iceland
MOST LIKELYUEFA Nations League · Friday, 13 November 2026 · 20:45
#AIFP-5714
1N2Most likely resultIceland win59%
SCOREMost likely score0-212%
xGExpected goals0.8 - 1.9
+2.5Over 2.5 goals52%
Probabilities locked before kickoff, then checkedMatch sheet
1 · 17%X · 24%2 · 59%

Our AI gives Iceland a 59% chance of winning, against 24% for a draw and 17% for a Bulgaria win. That makes an away victory the most likely result by a clear margin.

On goals, the AI expects 1.95 for Iceland and 0.8 for Bulgaria. The most likely score is 0-2, at 12% probability. The chance of more than 2.5 goals in the match is 52%, so it is close to an even call.

Recent form leans slightly towards the visitors. Iceland have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches, with a draw last time out. Bulgaria have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five, but they won their most recent game.

📋 Put this match on your siteFree widget that updates itself: probabilities, live and score. Copy this code:
<div class="afp-widget" data-type="match" data-match="5714" data-lang="en"><a href="https://aifootpredictor.com/blog/prediction-bulgaria-iceland-2026-11-13/">Bulgaria - Iceland : probabilities by AI Football Predictor</a></div>
<script src="https://aifootpredictor.com/embed.js" async></script>
All widgets
AIFP
Follow this match liveScore, goals and live probability, free.

Article written by our AI from our own data only (probabilities, expected goals, form, standings). Probabilities, not certainty. 18+.

The probability of every match, free

Today's most likely matches, live, team sheets and proof of reliability, free on the site.