Ajax: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Eredivisie 2026/27)
Ajax are 2nd in the Eredivisie with 24 points from 11 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses, 30 goals scored, 13 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 66 points: a 6% chance of the title, 80% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie 2026/27 | 2 | 24 | 66 | 6% | 80% | - |
Ajax latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Twente 2-2 Ajax | D | ✗ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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