Eredivisie 2026/27 predicted table: title and relegation chances

#	Team	Pts	End	Title	Top 4	Releg.
1	PSV Eindhoven	23	74	48%	99%	-
2	Feyenoord	25	72	27%	96%	-
3	Twente	23	70	18%	94%	-
4	Ajax	24	66	6%	80%	-
5	AZ Alkmaar	20	58	<1%	24%	-
6	Heerenveen	18	52	<1%	5%	<1%
7	Groningen	15	47	-	1%	<1%
8	Fortuna Sittard	20	47	-	1%	<1%
9	NEC Nijmegen	11	44	-	<1%	1%
10	Cambuur	15	44	-	<1%	1%
11	GO Ahead Eagles	17	43	-	<1%	1%
12	Utrecht	12	42	-	<1%	2%
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	36	-	-	11%
14	Telstar	10	36	-	<1%	11%
15	PEC Zwolle	12	34	-	-	20%
16	Excelsior	11	33	-	-	26%
17	ADO Den Haag	9	33	-	-	27%
18	Willem II	3	16	-	-	99%

End = expected points at the end of the season. Percentages = share of the 20,000 simulated seasons where it happens. Updated 08/11/2026.

Next Eredivisie matches: probabilities

1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. Probabilities, not certainties.

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FAQ

Who will win the Eredivisie?

Based on our 20,000 simulations, PSV Eindhoven are favourites with a 48% chance of the title. It is not a certainty: it is the share of simulated seasons where it happens.

How is this predicted table computed?

We estimate each team's attacking and defensive strength from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), then play the 203 remaining matches 20,000 times. Updated every night.