AZ Alkmaar: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Eredivisie 2026/27)
AZ Alkmaar are 5th in the Eredivisie with 20 points from 11 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 20 goals scored, 13 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 58 points: a <1% chance of the title, 24% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie 2026/27 | 5 | 20 | 58 | <1% | 24% | - |
AZ Alkmaar latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | AZ Alkmaar 4-3 Groningen | W | ✓ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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