
Lazio: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Serie A 2026/27)
Lazio are 1st in the Serie A with 28 points from 10 matches (9 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses, 24 goals scored, 8 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 72 points: a 5% chance of the title, 61% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A 2026/27 | 1 | 28 | 72 | 5% | 61% | - |
Lazio latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Napoli 1-1 Lazio | D | ✗ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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