Serie A 2026/27 predicted table: title and relegation chances

#	Team	Pts	End	Title	Top 4	Releg.
1	Inter	25	83	60%	98%	-
2	AS Roma	27	79	25%	92%	-
3	Como	23	73	7%	69%	-
4	Lazio	28	72	5%	61%	-
5	AC Milan	21	69	2%	45%	-
6	Juventus	17	64	<1%	17%	-
7	Napoli	14	62	<1%	12%	-
8	Frosinone	20	58	<1%	4%	<1%
9	Bologna	17	56	<1%	2%	<1%
10	Atalanta	11	51	-	<1%	1%
11	Cagliari	16	46	-	<1%	4%
12	Genoa	13	45	-	<1%	5%
13	Torino	14	43	-	-	8%
14	Fiorentina	8	42	-	-	11%
15	Monza	7	40	-	-	19%
16	Sassuolo	8	40	-	-	20%
17	Lecce	10	35	-	-	50%
18	Venezia	6	34	-	-	55%
19	Udinese	5	33	-	-	62%
20	Parma	8	32	-	-	66%

End = expected points at the end of the season. Percentages = share of the 20,000 simulated seasons where it happens. Updated 08/11/2026.

Next Serie A matches: probabilities

1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. Probabilities, not certainties.

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FAQ

Who will win the Serie A?

Based on our 20,000 simulations, Inter are favourites with a 60% chance of the title. It is not a certainty: it is the share of simulated seasons where it happens.

How is this predicted table computed?

We estimate each team's attacking and defensive strength from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), then play the 275 remaining matches 20,000 times. Updated every night.