Napoli: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Serie A 2026/27)
Napoli are 10th in the Serie A with 14 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, 17 goals scored, 13 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 62 points: a <1% chance of the title, 12% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A 2026/27 | 10 | 14 | 62 | <1% | 12% | - |
Napoli latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Napoli 1-1 Lazio | D | ✗ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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