Borussia Dortmund: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Bundesliga 2026/27)
Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga with 21 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, 16 goals scored, 7 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 69 points: a 3% chance of the title, 97% of a top 4 finish and a - relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga 2026/27 | 2 | 21 | 69 | 3% | 97% | - |
Borussia Dortmund latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Dortmund 2-1 Elversberg | W | ✓ |
On the Borussia Dortmund matches tracked by the AI, 1 of the 1 most likely outcomes happened.
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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Other Bundesliga teams
Bayern München · RB Leipzig · SC Freiburg · Bayer Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart · 1899 Hoffenheim · SV Elversberg · Werder Bremen · Eintracht Frankfurt · FSV Mainz 05 · FC Augsburg · 1. FC Köln · Hamburger SV · SC Paderborn 07 · Union Berlin · FC Schalke 04 · Borussia Mönchengladbach
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