
FSV Mainz 05: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Bundesliga 2026/27)
FSV Mainz 05 are 11th in the Bundesliga with 10 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 1 draws, 5 losses, 18 goals scored, 19 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 42 points: a - chance of the title, 1% of a top 4 finish and a 4% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga 2026/27 | 11 | 10 | 42 | - | 1% | 4% |
FSV Mainz 05 latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Mainz 1-2 Bayern Munich | L | ✓ |
On the FSV Mainz 05 matches tracked by the AI, 1 of the 1 most likely outcomes happened.
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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