
Bayer Leverkusen: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Bundesliga 2026/27)
Bayer Leverkusen are 6th in the Bundesliga with 13 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses, 18 goals scored, 16 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 54 points: a <1% chance of the title, 30% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga 2026/27 | 6 | 13 | 54 | <1% | 30% | <1% |
Bayer Leverkusen latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | FC Koln 1-2 Leverkusen | W | ✓ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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