Bundesliga 2026/27 predicted table: title and relegation chances

#	Team	Pts	End	Title	Top 4	Releg.
1	Bayern München	21	84	97%	99%	-
2	Borussia Dortmund	21	69	3%	97%	-
3	RB Leipzig	18	63	<1%	87%	-
4	SC Freiburg	16	55	<1%	39%	<1%
5	Bayer Leverkusen	13	54	<1%	30%	<1%
6	VfB Stuttgart	12	52	-	22%	<1%
7	1899 Hoffenheim	9	48	-	9%	1%
8	SV Elversberg	13	47	-	6%	1%
9	Werder Bremen	15	47	-	5%	1%
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	12	44	-	2%	2%
11	FSV Mainz 05	10	42	-	1%	4%
12	FC Augsburg	9	41	-	1%	6%
13	1. FC Köln	9	39	-	<1%	10%
14	Hamburger SV	12	38	-	<1%	13%
15	SC Paderborn 07	10	37	-	<1%	17%
16	Union Berlin	7	34	-	<1%	33%
17	FC Schalke 04	6	32	-	<1%	45%
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	29	-	-	68%

End = expected points at the end of the season. Percentages = share of the 20,000 simulated seasons where it happens. Updated 08/11/2026.

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FAQ

Who will win the Bundesliga?

Based on our 20,000 simulations, Bayern München are favourites with a 97% chance of the title. It is not a certainty: it is the share of simulated seasons where it happens.

How is this predicted table computed?

We estimate each team's attacking and defensive strength from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), then play the 228 remaining matches 20,000 times. Updated every night.