Bayern München: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Bundesliga 2026/27)
Bayern München are 1st in the Bundesliga with 21 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, 29 goals scored, 9 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 84 points: a 97% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga 2026/27 | 1 | 21 | 84 | 97% | 99% | - |
Bayern München latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Mainz 1-2 Bayern Munich | W | ✓ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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