Real Madrid: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (LaLiga 2026/27)
Real Madrid are 2nd in the LaLiga with 30 points from 12 matches (10 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, 31 goals scored, 10 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 88 points: a 23% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and a - relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaLiga 2026/27 | 2 | 30 | 88 | 23% | 99% | - |
Real Madrid latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Valencia 0-3 Real Madrid | W | ✓ |
On the Real Madrid matches tracked by the AI, 1 of the 1 most likely outcomes happened.
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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