LaLiga 2026/27 predicted table: title and relegation chances
According to 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season by AI Football Predictor, Barcelona have a 76% chance of winning the LaLiga (94 expected points). The clubs most at risk of relegation are Malaga (95%), Getafe (38%), Valencia (36%). 266 matches are left to play.
| # | Team | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 30 | 94 | 76% | 99% | - |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 30 | 88 | 23% | 99% | - |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 28 | 76 | 1% | 98% | - |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 23 | 64 | - | 52% | <1% |
| 5 |  Villarreal | 12 | 58 | - | 18% | <1% |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 19 | 57 | - | 16% | <1% |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 16 | 54 | - | 8% | <1% |
| 8 |  Sevilla | 18 | 52 | - | 3% | 1% |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 15 | 49 | - | 2% | 3% |
| 10 |  Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 47 | - | 1% | 7% |
| 11 |  Alaves | 13 | 46 | - | 1% | 8% |
| 12 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 46 | - | <1% | 8% |
| 13 |  Elche | 10 | 45 | - | <1% | 11% |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 12 | 44 | - | <1% | 13% |
| 15 |  Levante | 10 | 42 | - | <1% | 22% |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 42 | - | <1% | 24% |
| 17 |  Racing Santander | 14 | 40 | - | <1% | 34% |
| 18 |  Valencia | 9 | 39 | - | <1% | 36% |
| 19 |  Getafe | 12 | 39 | - | <1% | 38% |
| 20 |  Malaga | 5 | 27 | - | - | 95% |
End = expected points at the end of the season. Percentages = share of the 20,000 simulated seasons where it happens. Updated 08/11/2026.
Next LaLiga matches: probabilities
| Date | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 | Ath Madrid - Barcelona | 29% | 23% | 48% |
1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. Probabilities, not certainties.
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FAQ
Who will win the LaLiga?
Based on our 20,000 simulations, Barcelona are favourites with a 76% chance of the title. It is not a certainty: it is the share of simulated seasons where it happens.
How is this predicted table computed?
We estimate each team's attacking and defensive strength from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), then play the 266 remaining matches 20,000 times. Updated every night.
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