Barcelona: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (LaLiga 2026/27)
Barcelona are 1st in the LaLiga with 30 points from 11 matches (10 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses, 46 goals scored, 12 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 94 points: a 76% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaLiga 2026/27 | 1 | 30 | 94 | 76% | 99% | - |
Barcelona next matches: our probabilities
| Date | Match | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 | at Ath Madrid | 48% | 23% | 29% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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