Atletico Madrid: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (LaLiga 2026/27)
Atletico Madrid are 3rd in the LaLiga with 28 points from 11 matches (9 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses, 22 goals scored, 8 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 76 points: a 1% chance of the title, 98% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaLiga 2026/27 | 3 | 28 | 76 | 1% | 98% | - |
Atletico Madrid next matches: our probabilities
| Date | Match | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 | vs Barcelona (home) | 29% | 23% | 48% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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