Rayo Vallecano: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (LaLiga 2026/27)
Rayo Vallecano are 14th in the LaLiga with 12 points from 10 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, 15 goals scored, 20 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 47 points: a - chance of the title, 1% of a top 4 finish and a 7% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaLiga 2026/27 | 14 | 12 | 47 | - | 1% | 7% |
Rayo Vallecano latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Sociedad 1-0 Vallecano | L | ✓ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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