Nacional: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Liga Portugal 2026/27)
Nacional are 16th in the Liga Portugal with 7 points from 10 matches (2 wins, 1 draws, 7 losses, 10 goals scored, 19 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 31 points: a - chance of the title, <1% of a top 4 finish and a 29% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Portugal 2026/27 | 16 | 7 | 31 | - | <1% | 29% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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