Benfica: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Liga Portugal 2026/27)
Benfica are 2nd in the Liga Portugal with 25 points from 10 matches (8 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses, 27 goals scored, 8 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 78 points: a 25% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Portugal 2026/27 | 2 | 25 | 78 | 25% | 99% | - |
Benfica next matches: our probabilities
| Date | Match | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov, 21:30 | at Estrela | 76% | 15% | 9% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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