
Estrela: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Liga Portugal 2026/27)
Estrela are 12th in the Liga Portugal with 10 points from 10 matches (2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, 15 goals scored, 19 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 36 points: a - chance of the title, <1% of a top 4 finish and a 8% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Portugal 2026/27 | 12 | 10 | 36 | - | <1% | 8% |
Estrela next matches: our probabilities
| Date | Match | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 8 Nov, 21:30 | vs Benfica (home) | 9% | 15% | 76% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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