Arouca: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Liga Portugal 2026/27)
Arouca are 5th in the Liga Portugal with 20 points from 11 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 13 goals scored, 8 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 49 points: a - chance of the title, 6% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Portugal 2026/27 | 5 | 20 | 49 | - | 6% | <1% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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