
FC Porto: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Liga Portugal 2026/27)
FC Porto are 1st in the Liga Portugal with 30 points from 10 matches (10 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 25 goals scored, 4 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 84 points: a 71% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Portugal 2026/27 | 1 | 30 | 84 | 71% | 99% | - |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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