Le Mans: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Ligue 1 2026/27)
Le Mans are 17th in the Ligue 1 with 7 points from 9 matches (1 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, 11 goals scored, 18 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 34 points: a - chance of the title, <1% of a top 4 finish and a 27% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 2026/27 | 17 | 7 | 34 | - | <1% | 27% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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