Paris Saint Germain: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Ligue 1 2026/27)
Paris Saint Germain are 1st in the Ligue 1 with 23 points from 10 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses, 22 goals scored, 10 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 75 points: a 92% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 2026/27 | 1 | 23 | 75 | 92% | 99% | - |
Paris Saint Germain latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Paris SG 1-0 Troyes | W | ✓ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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