Toulouse: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Ligue 1 2026/27)
Toulouse are 10th in the Ligue 1 with 13 points from 10 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, 15 goals scored, 14 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 48 points: a <1% chance of the title, 6% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 2026/27 | 10 | 13 | 48 | <1% | 6% | <1% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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