Lyon: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Ligue 1 2026/27)
Lyon are 4th in the Ligue 1 with 17 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 15 goals scored, 7 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 57 points: a 2% chance of the title, 50% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 2026/27 | 4 | 17 | 57 | 2% | 50% | - |
Lyon latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brest 2-0 Lyon | L | ✗ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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