Monaco: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Ligue 1 2026/27)
Monaco are 7th in the Ligue 1 with 15 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, 12 goals scored, 10 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 54 points: a 1% chance of the title, 28% of a top 4 finish and a <1% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 2026/27 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 1% | 28% | <1% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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