Arsenal: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League with 27 points from 10 matches (9 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses, 15 goals scored, 5 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 85 points: a 86% chance of the title, 99% of a top 4 finish and a - relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 1 | 27 | 85 | 86% | 99% | - |
Arsenal latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Arsenal 1-0 Hull | W | ✓ |
On the Arsenal matches tracked by the AI, 1 of the 1 most likely outcomes happened.
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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