Aston Villa: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Aston Villa are 12th in the Premier League with 12 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, 10 goals scored, 13 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 52 points: a <1% chance of the title, 6% of a top 4 finish and a 3% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 12 | 12 | 52 | <1% | 6% | 3% |
Aston Villa latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Man United 4-4 Aston Villa | D | ✗ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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