Newcastle: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League with 12 points from 10 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, 13 goals scored, 16 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 45 points: a - chance of the title, <1% of a top 4 finish and a 19% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 11 | 12 | 45 | - | <1% | 19% |
Newcastle latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Fulham 1-1 Newcastle | D | ✗ |
On the Newcastle matches tracked by the AI, 0 of the 1 most likely outcomes happened.
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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