Liverpool: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Liverpool are 6th in the Premier League with 15 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, 11 goals scored, 9 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 61 points: a <1% chance of the title, 37% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 6 | 15 | 61 | <1% | 37% | <1% |
Liverpool latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Crystal Palace 1-3 Liverpool | W | ✓ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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