Manchester City: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Manchester City are 2nd in the Premier League with 21 points from 10 matches (7 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 21 goals scored, 13 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 72 points: a 7% chance of the title, 91% of a top 4 finish and practically no relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 2 | 21 | 72 | 7% | 91% | - |
Manchester City latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Nott'm Forest 3-1 Man City | L | ✗ |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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