Chelsea: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League with 16 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses, 19 goals scored, 15 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 59 points: a <1% chance of the title, 29% of a top 4 finish and a <1% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 4 | 16 | 59 | <1% | 29% | <1% |
Chelsea latest results
| Date | Match | Res. | Our most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea | L | ✗ |
On the Chelsea matches tracked by the AI, 0 of the 1 most likely outcomes happened.
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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