
Manchester United: win probabilities, predicted finish and next matches (Premier League 2026/27)
Manchester United are 18th in the Premier League with 7 points from 9 matches (1 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, 10 goals scored, 15 conceded). Based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season, the club would finish on 49 points: a <1% chance of the title, 3% of a top 4 finish and a 6% relegation risk.
| Season | Pos | Pts | End | Title | Top 4 | Releg. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League 2026/27 | 18 | 7 | 49 | <1% | 3% | 6% |
Probabilities computed from the season's goals and expected goals (xG), updated every day. These are probabilities, not certainties. Updated 08/11/2026.
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